Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events

Jarle W.  Bjerke; Efrem  López-Blanco; Hans Tømmervik; Anja Striberny; Corine Davids; Rannveig Ólafsdóttir; Stein Rune Karlsen; Per Sandström; Minna Turunen; Taru Rikkonen; Marit K.  Arneberg; Sten Siikavuopio; Karl Zinglersen; Kristine Lynge-Pedersen; Stefan Sandström; Pasi Rautio

doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012

Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events

Jarle W. Bjerke, Efrem López-Blanco, Hans Tømmervik, Anja Striberny, Corine Davids, Rannveig Ólafsdóttir, Stein Rune Karlsen, Per Sandström, Minna Turunen, Taru Rikkonen, Marit K. Arneberg, Sten Siikavuopio, Karl Zinglersen, Kristine Lynge-Pedersen, Stefan Sandström, Pasi Rautio

Research output: Contribution to journal › Review Article › peer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

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Abstract

The Arctic amplification affects the geology, cryosphere, and the total environment of high-latitude maritime-influenced lands. This study synthesizes information on recent and future climatic changes within the Nordic boreo-arctic region. The study area includes Greenland, Iceland, and the central and northern parts of Finland, Norway (incl. Svalbard), and Sweden. The climate scenarios used are derived from the CMIP6 ECEarth3 Earth System Model (ESM) data for the period 2015–2100 under the SSP2–4.5 scenario. The synthesis builds upon a comprehensive range of sources, addressing both gradual climatic changes and the frequency of extreme weather events across all seasons. Ongoing and projected changes to the cryosphere, soil, freshwater systems, wind, precipitation, and frequency of hazardous events are comprehensively reviewed and discussed.

Original language	English
Article number	105012
Number of pages	15
Journal	Earth-Science Reviews
Volume	261
Issue number	February 2025
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012
Publication status	Published - 17 Dec 2024
MoEC publication type	A2 Review article in a scientific journal

Keywords

climate
climate changes
hazard geography
warming
dryness
floods
arctic region
weather phenomena
climatic periods

Field of science

Geosciences
Environmental sciences

Access to research output

10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012Licence: CC BY

Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change
© 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
Final published version, 2.5 MBLicence: CC BY

Citation for this output

Bjerke, J. W., López-Blanco, E., Tømmervik, H., Striberny, A., Davids, C., Ólafsdóttir, R., Karlsen, S. R., Sandström, P., Turunen, M., Rikkonen, T., Arneberg, M. K., Siikavuopio, S., Zinglersen, K., Lynge-Pedersen, K., Sandström, S., & Rautio, P. (2024). Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events. Earth-Science Reviews, 261(February 2025), Article 105012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012

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title = "Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events",

abstract = "The Arctic amplification affects the geology, cryosphere, and the total environment of high-latitude maritime-influenced lands. This study synthesizes information on recent and future climatic changes within the Nordic boreo-arctic region. The study area includes Greenland, Iceland, and the central and northern parts of Finland, Norway (incl. Svalbard), and Sweden. The climate scenarios used are derived from the CMIP6 ECEarth3 Earth System Model (ESM) data for the period 2015–2100 under the SSP2–4.5 scenario. The synthesis builds upon a comprehensive range of sources, addressing both gradual climatic changes and the frequency of extreme weather events across all seasons. Ongoing and projected changes to the cryosphere, soil, freshwater systems, wind, precipitation, and frequency of hazardous events are comprehensively reviewed and discussed.",

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author = "Bjerke, \{Jarle W.\} and Efrem L{\'o}pez-Blanco and Hans T{\o}mmervik and Anja Striberny and Corine Davids and Rannveig {\'O}lafsd{\'o}ttir and Karlsen, \{Stein Rune\} and Per Sandstr{\"o}m and Minna Turunen and Taru Rikkonen and Arneberg, \{Marit K.\} and Sten Siikavuopio and Karl Zinglersen and Kristine Lynge-Pedersen and Stefan Sandstr{\"o}m and Pasi Rautio",

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year = "2024",

month = dec,

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doi = "10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012",

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Bjerke, JW, López-Blanco, E, Tømmervik, H, Striberny, A, Davids, C, Ólafsdóttir, R, Karlsen, SR, Sandström, P, Turunen, M , Rikkonen, T, Arneberg, MK, Siikavuopio, S, Zinglersen, K, Lynge-Pedersen, K, Sandström, S & Rautio, P 2024, 'Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events', Earth-Science Reviews, vol. 261, no. February 2025, 105012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012

TY - JOUR

T1 - Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change

T2 - A review of recent and future trends and extreme events

AU - Bjerke, Jarle W.

AU - López-Blanco, Efrem

AU - Tømmervik, Hans

AU - Striberny, Anja

AU - Davids, Corine

AU - Ólafsdóttir, Rannveig

AU - Karlsen, Stein Rune

AU - Sandström, Per

AU - Turunen, Minna

AU - Rikkonen, Taru

AU - Arneberg, Marit K.

AU - Siikavuopio, Sten

AU - Zinglersen, Karl

AU - Lynge-Pedersen, Kristine

AU - Sandström, Stefan

AU - Rautio, Pasi

PY - 2024/12/17

Y1 - 2024/12/17

N2 - The Arctic amplification affects the geology, cryosphere, and the total environment of high-latitude maritime-influenced lands. This study synthesizes information on recent and future climatic changes within the Nordic boreo-arctic region. The study area includes Greenland, Iceland, and the central and northern parts of Finland, Norway (incl. Svalbard), and Sweden. The climate scenarios used are derived from the CMIP6 ECEarth3 Earth System Model (ESM) data for the period 2015–2100 under the SSP2–4.5 scenario. The synthesis builds upon a comprehensive range of sources, addressing both gradual climatic changes and the frequency of extreme weather events across all seasons. Ongoing and projected changes to the cryosphere, soil, freshwater systems, wind, precipitation, and frequency of hazardous events are comprehensively reviewed and discussed.

AB - The Arctic amplification affects the geology, cryosphere, and the total environment of high-latitude maritime-influenced lands. This study synthesizes information on recent and future climatic changes within the Nordic boreo-arctic region. The study area includes Greenland, Iceland, and the central and northern parts of Finland, Norway (incl. Svalbard), and Sweden. The climate scenarios used are derived from the CMIP6 ECEarth3 Earth System Model (ESM) data for the period 2015–2100 under the SSP2–4.5 scenario. The synthesis builds upon a comprehensive range of sources, addressing both gradual climatic changes and the frequency of extreme weather events across all seasons. Ongoing and projected changes to the cryosphere, soil, freshwater systems, wind, precipitation, and frequency of hazardous events are comprehensively reviewed and discussed.

KW - climate

KW - climate changes

KW - hazard geography

KW - warming

KW - dryness

KW - floods

KW - arctic region

KW - weather phenomena

KW - climatic periods

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UR - https://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85212198981&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012

DO - 10.1016/j.earscirev.2024.105012

M3 - Review Article

SN - 0012-8252

VL - 261

JO - Earth-Science Reviews

JF - Earth-Science Reviews

IS - February 2025

M1 - 105012

ER -

Nordic boreo-arctic lands under rapid climatic change: A review of recent and future trends and extreme events

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